Fire in Kyiv .. The harvest in Damascus is political repercussions in Syria.

Zainab EgyptianDiana RahimaAmal RantisiHassan Ibrahim

Many of the files that open in Ukraine are linked between the major countries and the Syrian file, depending on the connection of the relations of these countries and their interests that play a fundamental role in the Syrian arena, namely America, Russia, Turkey and Israel.

This invasion also affects the economic situation in Syria due to the economic repercussions of the war globally, high inflation and shipping costs, in addition to the economic support provided by Russia to the government of the regime, the economic sanctions it faces from Western countries and its reflection on Syria, and the fact that Ukraine is a country exported to a strategic product, wheat.

Anab Baladi discusses in this file with political and economic experts, the repercussions of the Russian "conquest" of Ukraine on the progress of the political process related to the Syrian file, and the economic situation in Syria on considering Russia as a key ally of the regime, and an active party in the Syrian issue.

"Muawiyah hair was cut off"

The approach of the UN envoy to Syria, changed Pederson, "step by step" that was put forward to find a political solution to the functioning of the political process in Syria on the basis of Russian-American consensus..

In January 2022, Pederson said in an interview with Al -Sharq Al -Awsat newspaper, that he had received support from the Security Council to advance in a "step -by -step" approach between the parties concerned, to determine the gradual, mutual and accurate steps defined precisely, and can be verified to be applied in parallel between the parties concerned to reachInternational Resolution "2254".

But the escalation between the two great countries that followed the Russian invasion of Ukraine does not suggest this consensus well, so that on the 23rd of last February, Pederson expressed his concern that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will negatively affect the solution of the Syrian crisis..

"As a special envoy to Syria, I am concerned that this conflict over Ukraine has a negative impact on resolving the Syrian conflict, but I hope this will not happen," said Pederson, during his meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov..

City of Al -Bab in the eastern countryside of Aleppo - December 25, 2021 (Enab Baladi / Siraj Muhammad)

Extravagance is not rapprochement

The US President, Joe Biden, said in a statement after a phone call he had with Ukrainian President Voludmir Zellinski, that he condemned the "unjustified attack of the Russian military forces", stressing that the United States, its allies and partners will respond in a unified and decisive way, and "the world will hold the world accountable Russia(...) Responsible for the death and the destruction that this attack will cause..

For its part, the Russian Foreign Ministry announced that Moscow will provide a strong response to the new US sanctions on Russia.

A statement issued by the Russian Foreign Ministry said, "There should be no doubts that there will be a strong response to the sanctions, not necessarily similar, but it will be perceived for the American side," according to what was reported by Sputnik..

The researcher in the Russian affairs, Dr. Nasr Al -Youssef, believes that the Syrian settlement has become currently postponed to the “interruption of Muawiyah poetry” that connected the Russians and the collective West, according to what he said to Enab Baladi.

And if Russia had previously wanted to make concessions in exchange for other things in the contentious files, then it has become completely postponed, due to the hostility that exploded overnight between Russia and the West..

Consequently, the Syrian crisis will be prolonged, and the repercussions of the Ukrainian crisis are very poor to Syria, according to the researcher.

Russia has intensified its presence on the Syrian soil as a quantity and quality by bringing it to strategic planes and missile launchers, as well as maritime maneuvers to open a front that includes Europe and the Middle East.

Al -Youssef believes that Russia will not give up all of Syria because it is a starting point for it, in addition to that it has become a Russian base that can be used in the face of the West.

On the other hand, Putin will not sacrifice the lion, which responds directly with Putin's orders, and “it is not reasonable for Putin to replace him in this sensitive difficult period, and he knows the extent of his sincerity and obedience to Russia.”.

According to Al -Youssef, the "Syrian crisis" entered into a tunnel, if not dark, then at least there is no preacher.

Leaves that Turkey does not want to lose

Turkey, the influence that stands on the opposite side of Russia in Syria, took the role of mediator before the start of the Russian "invasion", and expressed its sympathy for Ukraine, while maintaining its diplomatic relations with Russia.

On February 22, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan confirmed to his Ukrainian counterpart, Voludmir Zellinski, Turkey's position refusing to recognize both Donetsk and Logansk, according to a statement to the "Turkish Presidency".

Erdogan pointed out that Turkey announced its position through the statement of its Ministry of Foreign Affairs, stressing that Putin's recognition of the alleged Republics is "unacceptable".

For his part, Putin expressed his "disappointment" from the response of America and NATO, during a phone call he made with Erdogan.

In the wake of the Russian attacks on Ukraine, the Ukrainian ambassador in Ankara, Vasil Bodenar, asked Turkey to close its marine harassment in front of Russian ships in the interest of Ukraine.

After a Turkish government denial to confirm the decision to close the harassment in front of or deny the Russians, Turkey announced, on February 28, that it had notified all countries not to send their warships through the Turkish harassment.

The Turkish Foreign Minister, Mouloud Gawishoglu, said earlier that Russia will continue to send its ships (to its bases in the Black Sea) through the straits even if Turkey closed it.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Reuters)

What does Russia have

Turkey depends on its import of gas greatly on Russia, importing approximately 33.6 billion cubic meters for the year 2020 only.

The gas flow from Iran stopped the failure of the industrial sector in Turkey, and paralysis of the Turkish industry for several days.

The Executive Director of the Turkish Gas Company, "Dai Gas", Muhammad Dogan, said, "If we look at the worst possibilities, and the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict during the summer, and Russia has stopped exporting gas to us, the gas prices will jump significantly, but if that occurred during the winterIt will not have any opportunity for Turkey.We will be over. ”.

Turkey has seen from the first moment in the crisis a severe damage to it, and from it it sought from the beginning to try to avoid the exacerbation of the situation, including its brokerage show between Moscow and Kiev, according to what the researcher and specialist in Turkish affairs, Dr. Saeed Al -Hajj, said in an interview with Enab Baladi.

There are expected repercussions of any military escalation on the global economy, especially on developing economies, some of which appeared in the work of exchanges, exchange rates and other indicators since the start of the invasion, which are disturbing repercussions for Turkey under the conditions of the Turkish economy currently and the government's attempts to get out of them.

Also, the rebounds on the tourism season with the beginning of the summer will be great, as it is a season that Turkey is counting a lot in operating the labor and obtaining a hard currency and stimulating the economy, especially since Russia usually occupies the first or second rank in terms of the number of tourists coming to Turkey.

Turkey wants to avoid having to take sharp and biased positions in a crisis like this that may have consequences, and Ankara fears the bounces of any position in the relationship with Moscow or in regional files such as Syria, Libya and the South Caucasus as Russian "retaliatory" steps..

As much as possible, she tried to avoid turning the Ukrainian crisis into a military conflict, and when the latter fell, it rejected it and condemned it, but without Russia being prepared or standing in its confrontation, because it realizes that America (and the West in general) will often return to sit with Putin to negotiate later after the calmness of the crisis.

Al -Hajj does not see that Turkey mainly rejected the Russian war against Ukraine, and considered its condemnation of Russia's recognition of the independence of the two republics in the region of Donbas in eastern Ukraine very close to the position of "NATO" and the position of most countries of the world.

Consequently, it is not completely neutral, but it tries as much as possible to avoid direct engagement in this crisis, as Turkey tried not to clash with Russia, such as refraining from voting in the Council of Europe to freeze Russia's membership..

Al -Hajj believes that Russia, at this moment, will seek to spare Syria any repercussions of this crisis, but if the Ukraine or war crisis goes to the content and stage of Russia's drain in the long run, both the West on the one hand and Russia on the other hand will work on the escalation in Syria,As an attempt to narrow the screws on each other, and opened a front in Syria.

Accordingly, Al -Hajj does not believe that Turkey will provide something to Russia in Syria, but rather it is afraid of certain moves, perhaps in the Syrian file, and you want to remain the status quo at the very least, at this moment..

Russian-Israeli tension

Both Israel and Moscow have a friendly and mutual relationship in the period before the Russian "invasion" of Ukraine, due to the existence of interests for the two parties in Syria.

Israeli officials fear that the repercussions of the Russian invasion of Ukraine may disrupt Israel's efforts to ward off Iranian influence in Syria and the region.

Israel is trying to avoid any statements or actions that may disturb Russia, to the point that it was asked to senior defense officials not to publicly comment on the situation in Ukraine, for fear that this will have serious repercussions on Israel's efforts to keep Iran and its regional agents under control, according to Israeli officials told a newspaper.Israeli “Israel”.

Israeli officials also expressed their concern that imposing US sanctions on Russia in response to a possible invasion of Ukraine could harm the security interests of Israel in Syria..

In a separate context, Israel condemned the Russian "invasion" of Ukraine, on February 24, and described it as "a serious violation of the international system".

The newspaper "Times of ISRAEL" reported that Russia summoned the Israeli ambassador to Moscow, Alexander Bin Tsafi, to clarify Israel's position on the "invasion" of Ukraine.

According to the newspaper, on February 25, about Hebrew reports, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov asked the Israeli ambassador: “Why does Israel support the Nazis in Ukraine?”.

The professor of political science at the "International Center for Geopolitics" in Paris, Khattar Abu Diab, believes that there is no evidence about the existence of Israeli-Russian tension on the issue of Ukraine, because Israel cannot stand before America, but it appears in a position closer to neutrality, and even closerTo Russia on the Ukrainian issue.

Abu Diab believes that for Syria, the agreements that are respected between the two parties until the moment, and do not indicate the possibility of any clash between them..

On the contrary, if the nuclear agreement is between Washington and Tehran, an Iranian-American rapprochement will occur, and it will be reflected to become an Israeli-Russian rapprochement..

Abu Diab considered that Israel eats everything in the plate, that is, it has its strategy with Washington, but it has created a strategic link with Putin as well, and therefore it is not embarrassing, but rather benefited from the Ukrainian war to receive thousands of Jews who fled from Ukraine.

Israel has also established a great strategic and technological relationship with China, and then with Putin, and all this we see in many forums on the ground.

Where does Iran stand from the equation?

Political science professor Khattar Abu Diab believes that the Russians are annoyed by the lack of fulfillment of Iran with pledges that it cut off not to approach southern Syria.

And when Israel is making a specific raid, Russia has pledged to protect the regime, so all that the Russians do not come to the regime and its head approaching.

Abu Diab does not believe that there is a departure from the Russian tactical agreement between these parties.

What appears to be Iran's support for Russia in the case of "invasion" of Ukraine, is the position of the media only, but in this matter, a country like Pakistan is the one who stood by Russia.

And if the nuclear agreement with America begins, Iran will be closer to America than to Russia.

Iran was the ground force of the Russian Air Force in Syria, but a while ago, the spacing in interests began to appear on the public, because each party is working to strengthen its positions at the expense of the other party inside Syria, as if it was part of its strategic security and its completion of its influence.

Green seller sitting on his vehicle in the Idlib city market- 7 of April (Enab Baladi)

From the previous economic conditions in advance, the high cost and the low purchasing power, to the policy of raising support and the approach of the month of Ramadan, then the Ukrainian crisis and its economic repercussions globally and expected to extend to the Middle East, economic crises on the Syrians in various Syrian geography in different parties that control it..

Most of the expectations revolve around the high prices of goods and imports of wheat and the high costs of import, especially the oil derivatives that the Syrians face difficulties in buying, while they are heading to "negative" ways to adapt to the deterioration of the living situation in the country, through child labor and marriage and selling productive assets, according toUnited Nations reports.

The system anticipates the repercussions:

The deterioration of the Syrian economy is linked to the global deterioration

As soon as Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the start of what he described as a "special military operation" in the region of Donbas, on February 24, the Syrian regime officials linked the deterioration of the economic conditions in Syria with the consequences of the crisis.

The regime government was quick to hold a meeting it said in response to the developments in Ukraine, and it was announced by "austerity" decisions to manage the stocks available from the basic materials in the next two months..

After him, the Minister of Economy, Muhammad Samer Al -Khalil, came out, and announced that the Syria economy is not immune to the impact of global crises, and stressed that the government of the regime imports from wheat monthly in hard currency more than 180 thousand tons, while the import of oil annually costs more than two and a half billion euros..

With Western countries imposing economic sanctions on Russia because of its military operation in Ukraine, the adviser to the head of the Syrian regime, Luna Al -Shibl, pledged to support Russia in the face of these sanctions as Moscow did with Damascus, while its government applies the policy of lifting support for citizens in its areas of control under the pretext of inability to be ableContinue in it.

The Syrians began to see the repercussions of the Russian "invasion" of Ukraine, through the decisions taken by the Syrian regime government at the beginning of the war, by tightening the belt, austerity policy and reducing expenditures to face the coming days, according to what the doctor said in the financial and banking sciences and economics researcher Firas Shaabu, in an interview with EnabMy country.

Shaabu added that the regime's government has prevented the export of many foodstuffs in the coming period, as it instructed the ministries to control the expenses significantly, and this is an indication that the coming days will be economically difficult for the regime and to citizens who are previously suffering from high prices..

The high energy and the low support that the regime receives from Russia directly or directly, will cast a shadow over the costs of living, and will exacerbate economic problems, according to Shaabu, as Russia was contributing to the supply of the regime with some wheat, energy and equipment.

On February 9, the Russian ambassador to Syria, Alexander Veimov, announced, during an interview with the Russian "Sputnik" agency, the increase in the volume of trade exchange between Russia and the government of the regime three times in 2021, compared to the same period in 2020.

Shaabu explained that the high prices globally as a result of the war will cast a shadow over the Syrian economic reality, because the government of the regime considered itself a party to this war..

The head of the regime, Bashar al -Assad, stated that Syria and Russia are fighting the world and "universal war", and put himself in the trench of Russia, and thus the sanctions that will be imposed on Russia will also be imposed on the Syrian regime, according to the researcher..

Shaabu said that Russia today suffers from great economic problems, and the Assad regime was not a priority for the priority granted to the internal situation in Russia, and therefore the regime will suffer and he is aware of that, and it tries to keep direct contact with the Iranians for fear of the fundamental change in the system, the stop of war and the subordination of RussiaFor European conditions.

Accordingly, the researcher expected that the Syrian pound will reach record levels again, as this period decreased to 3900 pounds per dollar on the black market, and a strong candidate to reach in the coming days to 4000 and 5,000 pounds per dollar, because the system mainly does not have the ability to control it with resources, But it controls it with security methods.

Shaabu pointed out that the general economic situation, the deterioration of the value of the Syrian pound, and the high prices globally, in addition to the inflation and the poor services provided inside the Syrian and the reduction of support for a large part of the people, as well as economic sanctions and the tightening of the system of spending policy, will be reflected directly on the life of the Syrian citizen and will not have itThe ability to negatively adapt, confirming the international reports that talked about it.

He indicated that the economic problems that the Syrians will face can turn into a social problem and an ethical problem, noting that many economic reports said that Syria is heading to starvation and reality suggests this, with the absence of government intervention.

Vegetables in one of the markets of Idlib - January 13, 2018 (Enab Baladi)

There is hardly any crisis until its signs appear clearly in the markets of northeastern Syria, as most goods are available in the region at normal times, but this situation differs when any crossing or political or military crisis is closed, so that these goods disappear or their prices suddenly rise.

The repercussions of the Ukrainian crisis were reflected after the Russian "invasion" on hydrocarbons globally, due to the imposition of American and European sanctions on Russia, while the people are afraid of the decrease in the value of traded currencies and the interruption of basic foodstuffs, including wheat and barley, according to what Anab Baladi monitored from merchants working inRegion.

High prices

Northeast Syria markets have witnessed successive crises during the past years to secure basic needs, the most severe sugar and bread crises and fuel securing the population in areas controlled by "self -management".

Since the start of the Ukrainian crisis and the talk about its potential economic impact on Syria, the prices of foodstuffs in the region have increased, although the source of most of the materials in the areas of the "administration" control of Iraq, Turkey or Iran has increased.

Among these imported substances, vegetable oils, vegetable ghee and some types of cans from a foreign source in proportions ranging from 20 and 25% of the original price of the material before the war began in Ukraine.

While an official in “Self -Administration” approved (he asked not to be named because he is not authorized to talk to the media), that the financial policy of “administration” and the absence of an effective role for its affiliated institutions by direct intervention in the markets, leaves those markets vulnerable to the behavior of merchants who take advantage of crises and monopolize articlesThey raise their prices.

The official stated that the "administration" does not have any major strategic stocks for important materials, and most of the materials that are imported are for daily needs, and it is not enough to meet any sudden need in normal times..

He considered that the absence of the role of banks and the lack of a critical institution with the "administration" is the main reason for economic crises, in addition to the size of corruption and the large bureaucracy in the "administration" institutions, and that any crisis may occur need a lot of planning and meetings to worsen the crisis before the administration can“From intervention or limiting it.

Civilians are waiting for their role to obtain sugar material in Al -Shadadi area in Al -Hasaka countryside (North Press)

"Self -administration" tends to self -sufficiency

The joint head of the Economy Authority in “Self -Administration”, Suleiman Baroudou, said in an electronic correspondence with Enab Baladi, that the region in general is heading towards a real crisis, because most Arab countries and governments, and not only regions of Northeast Syria, import some necessary materials fromRussia, Ukraine, or from both, especially materials such as wheat, vegetable, metal, flour, and others.

He added that after the war between the two parties, the prices of many materials, especially the agricultural crops that witnessed a remarkable increase, jumped, which threatens food security and even political stability in the region.

On his question about the plan that "self -management" will work to reduce economic repercussions and the height of materials, Baroudou replied that the plan is to rely on self -sufficiency..

Baroudo said, “Through our plans that we will adopt in the near future, such as our support for the establishment of laboratories and factories through the initial resources available to us, especially linking the outputs of the agricultural process to the inputs of the industrial process, and supporting agricultural projects to reach self -sufficiency,”.

In turn, the researcher in the Kurdish affairs and resident of Qamishli Shafan Ibrahim believes that according to the cost of war and inflation in global oil prices and its impact on shipping prices, the import of wheat, for example, from Russia or Ukraine to the "administration" areas, will mean more burdens in this region because ofThe high cost.

Ibrahim pointed out that there are many agricultural lands and vast areas in the regions of northeastern Syria, but there is no interest in this agriculture, and there are no plans to ensure the development of agriculture in proportion to the popular need..

In the first place, there will be an impact on shipping prices and the prices of incoming goods, in addition to the lack of wheat that is due to drought in the current year and in the previous years, according to Ibrahim.

No strategic planning

Ibrahim attributed the reasons for the rapid influence in crises in the areas of "administration" to the absence of strategic planning that prompted the region to import materials that could achieve self -sufficiency..

The Strategic Planning Corporation is of great importance, according to Ibrahim, as it will develop plans to develop, agriculture, trade and industry, and this planning will need to be "administration" to open political relations with all those who can constitute a pressure or a barrier to the possibility of economic development in the region.

The researcher called on "self -management" to support the agricultural sector immediately by giving financial loans and providing electricity and diesel, so the continuation of the international situation for a few other weeks in this way will threaten the wheat crop, and even import wheat in quantities, which means the high price of a bundle of bread.

The "administration" did not notice these topics from the beginning, and it did not pay any attention. The prices of seeds and materials entering the "administration" are in dollars at very high prices..

He added to that the absence of the electrical current, which caused the farmers unable to grow cotton, which is an important economic resource that contributes to export and industry, operating a gin, the spinning laboratory and the weaving in Hasaka and providing many job opportunities and good local economic resources.

A political reflection on the region

The researcher, Shafan Ibrahim, pointed out that it is not possible to talk about an economic impact without talking about a political impact, and certainly the impact of the Russian war against Ukraine will be reflected on the region not only economist, but even politically today with the increasing pace of threats and European and American sanctions on Russia.

American bases are spread in northeastern Syria, which support the "Syrian Democratic Forces" (SDF) with Russian bases, and the intensification of the war in Ukraine. The Russians depend on that war in more than one region, including Syria, according to the researcher, who sees the possibility of resortingRussia to extort the local or power structures in northeastern Syria by not being drawn into any political situation, or will be waved with the sticks of the areas that Russia protects in partnership with the "self -administration", which are areas under Turkish threat, of course..

An oil tank enters the city of Qamishli (the economy of the money and works of the Syrians)

The regions of northwestern Syria, which are controlled by the government, depend on a fait accompli: the "rescue" and "the Syrian interim", in the majority of its economy on some resources, products and local goods from local crops and manufacturers.

Goods and goods are imported from Turkey through the official crossings, and mainly include foodstuffs, construction materials, fuel, etc., and the goods imported from other countries pass to areas controlled by the opposition factions through the crossings with Turkey.

The Russian "invasion" of Ukraine affected the economy of many countries and the global economy in general, and it has directly and indirectly affected these regions and in the long run, especially since the population in the northern Syrian regions suffer from bad and deteriorating living conditions, poverty and inability of families to be able toSecuring its day and its requirements.

Indirect effect

Researcher in political economics, Dr. Yahya Al -Sayed Omar, explained to Enab Baladi that the Russian “invasion” of Ukraine affected the entire global economy, and there is no country immune to this influence, and with regard to the regions of northwestern Syria, it will be indirectly affected..

Among these effects, according to Mr. Omar, the high rate of inflation, in addition to the high energy prices such as home gas and fuel, especially since the majority of them are imported from abroad, in addition to the possibility of difficulty in supplies in light of the high prices.

In the long run, the region is expected to be negatively affected by the high poverty rate as a direct result of the high rate of inflation, in addition to the decline in some economic indicators and the decline in early economic recovery indicators in the region, according to the researcher..

Green seller and fruits in the Idlib city market- 7 of April (Enab Baladi)

"Temporary" will be affected by the long term

The Minister of Economy of the "Provisional Government", which controls the countryside of Aleppo alongside the cities of Ras Al Ain, northwest of Hasaka and Tal Abyad, north of Raqqa, Abdel Hakim Al -Masry, told Enab Baladi that the existence of a war or conflict between two countries that homrate important and major materials such as wheat and gas will affect everyoneAnd most sectors will be affected in general, but in particular the oil and fuel sectors in addition to wheat.

Al -Masry suggested the high prices of these materials due to their rise in all regions of the world, as a result of the high oil and gas prices, and the rise in maritime transport prices, and indicated that these materials will be available and will not affect the areas of influence of the "interim government", but their prices will be high..

The influence of the "conquest" will not be great on areas of influence of the "interim government", because there is a stock of these materials, but if the "invasion" continues, the effect will appear, according to the Egyptian minister..

Direct effect on the "rescue" areas

The director of public relations at the Ministry of Economy and Resources of the "Salvation" government operating in Idlib, Hamdo Al -Jassem, told Enab Baladi that the Russian "invasion" of Ukraine has a great impact and "serious" implications for the global economy, which is still suffering from the consequences of the "new Corona" virus "(Kofid-19), and it has an impact on the northwestern regions of Syria, which depends on import, as the import rate is estimated at 80%.

Al -Jassem explained that any global rise in commodity prices leads to its rise in other regions directly, especially energy, as Russia and Ukraine are among the largest exporters of gas and oil around the world, and the result of "invasion" and economic sanctions, energy prices rise significantly, as they exceeded "crude pricesBrent (which is the main commercial classification of sweet, sweet crude oil, which is used as a major standard for oil purchase prices globally) 110 dollars per barrel.

After the Russian invasion, oil prices continued to rise, and "Brent crude" went towards registering $ 120 a barrel, which is its highest level in about ten years, as a result of US sanctions on Russian refining companies, shipping disorder and decreased American crude stocks to the lowest level in years.

Ukrainian “rescue” flour

As for the areas of influence of “rescue”, it is, according to Al -Jassem, imports flour from Turkey, which in turn imports it from Ukraine, and 90% of wheat or flour that enters the spheres of “rescue” influence is Ukrainian.

Al -Jasim showed that the price of wheat in the areas of "rescue" dominated increased from 370 dollars per ton to 400 dollars, during the first days of the "invasion", and it is expected to reach 460 dollars per ton..

Northwestern Syrian residents suffer from the high prices of commodities and materials that the markets witnessed in the region in an unprecedented way, which prevents them from securing their needs from the main and secondary materials..

And not only the goods and foodstuffs, as the high cost of bread reached the basic baking material, which has monitored Enab Balad.

Efforts by capabilities

Al -Jassem expected that the local production of wheat will reach about 80 thousand tons for the current year, and to achieve more than 60% of the food security to alleviate the suffering of the people in the spheres of the "rescue" influence.

With regard to oil derivatives, the "Salvation" government will pump from its strategic stock, according to Al -Jassem, to cover events in its areas of control of ovens, water stations, hospitals and productive economic projects.

The northern Syria suffers from the poor and deteriorating living conditions, and from poverty and the inability of families to secure their day and requirements, and showed a questionnaire conducted by the "Human Needs Assessment Program" (HNAP), in conjunction with the "United Nations Development" and the early recovery and livelihood group in northwestern Syria, The "Economic Deprivation" that people live in Syria, according to a report issued on September 14, 2021.